Market Cycle and Path to $140,000: Observation and Prediction

The cryptocurrency market operates according to different structural models, driven by the actions of market participants. These entities influence the accumulation of liquidity, establish trends, and the overall direction of the market. Understanding these mechanisms can provide clarity on market movements and potential scenarios in the future. The market structure design A repeating cycle can be identified, usually following the sequence below: Merger extension (6-8 months): In this period, the market is still within range, accumulating liquidity as traders and investors build positions. This consolidation sets the stage for the next trend. The first wave of growth: After the accumulation process, a significant price increase action will take place, often attracting initial momentum and creating a price uptrend. Redistribute and Collect Liquidity: When prices rise, liquidity is drawn from the stop points placed on resistance levels and below the support area. This phase corrects the market, laying the foundation for the next growth phase. The second growth wave: According to history, the market rarely ends an uptrend after a single growth wave. The second wave, usually larger, will push the price higher. Another consolidation phase: After reaching a new high, the market tends to enter a prolonged consolidation phase, with the possibility of forming upward structures like a wedge. This pattern often repeats, fitting in terms of structure and timing with market behavior in the past. The goal for this cycle The main target for the current cycle is $140,000, a milestone that has not yet been reached. With the trend following the established market patterns, it is likely that there will be another growth phase leading to this level. Additionally, a scenario related to a six-month consolidation phase until the end of summer may occur, likely forming a gradual uptrend and pushing the price up to $173,000. Distribution and Retail Participation phase When reaching a higher price level, the distribution phase begins. Market participants, also known as 'whales', strategically exit their positions and sell to retail investors in the context of a strengthening market. This process takes time and is often accompanied by an increase in altcoin prices as retail investor interest shifts to alternative cryptocurrencies. Such a scenario creates the 'greatest market exaggeration', encouraging widespread participation. The role of Altcoin Altcoins play a crucial role in the distribution phase. When big players withdraw, funds often rotate into smaller, high-potential assets. This creates a scenario where altcoins experience exponential growth, attracting significant attention and further liquidity into the market. Looking forward Although the path to $140,000 and beyond seems reasonable, caution is necessary. Market fluctuations are very complex, influenced by macroeconomic factors, legal developments, and unforeseen events. Continuous observation and Do Your Own Research (DYOR) are crucial for navigating these cycles effectively. Conclusion The cryptocurrency market operates in a rhythmic structure defined by accumulation, growth, redistribution, and consolidation phases. As the cycle progresses, the potential for another growth wave remains high, targeting $140,000 and even $173,000 within reach. However, this journey may involve significant volatility and strategic actions by market participants. Always stay updated, observe patterns, and conduct your research. DYOR! #Write2Win #Write&Earn $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)