Looking back at the market dynamics of 2019, we can't help but notice the striking similarities with the current situation. In that year, although the trade war initiated by Trump caused market turbulence, there was a widespread expectation in June that interest rates would be cut in July, with an expected probability exceeding 80%. This is quite similar to the current expectation probability of 93% for a rate cut in September.

From June to July of that year, we witnessed a strong rebound in technology stocks, with companies like Nvidia and Tesla seeing an average increase of about 30% in their stock prices. If Ethereum replicates this scenario this year, rising from around $3500 to about $4550 in two months, how will other cryptocurrencies perform?

Based on past experiences during altcoin seasons, if Ethereum rises by 30%, then large cryptocurrencies like BNB, SOL, XRP, and ADA could see increases of 50% to 100%. Meanwhile, smaller market cap cryptocurrencies are likely to experience growth of 100% to 300%. As for meme coins like DOGE and SHIB, their volatility may be even more pronounced, with increases of 100% to 500% not being uncommon in this field.

However, we must also remember that history never simply repeats itself. Although we hope that this market trend can surpass the performance of 2019, the development of the market still requires us to remain vigilant and keep an eye on the latest developments. After all, in the ever-changing world of cryptocurrency, the only constant is change itself.

While we yearn for the future, we must also remain rational and objective. Every fluctuation in the cryptocurrency market contains both opportunities and risks. Investors need to carefully assess their risk tolerance and make informed decisions. No matter how the market changes, maintaining an attitude of learning and adaptation is the key to success in this challenging field.